Spanish-Tic

0x4a091a866a9a0d226c4bde1bb9dc5290aea9f868

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Spanish-Tic: −$1.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 86% (95% range 49%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −13.9%
Settled bets
7
$8.5K staked
Won
85.7%
95% range 49%–97%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$63
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY Under @ 94¢
Croatia vs. England: O/U 6.5
Croatia vs. England: O/U 6.5 $1.3K
Sep 30 BUY Chicago White Sox @ 97¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros $1.3K
Sep 25 BUY Liberty @ 99.19¢
Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina
Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina $1.3K
Sep 23 BUY Minnesota Twins @ 99¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants $1.3K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 99.2¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-19?
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-09-19? $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed