Known-Nitrogen
0x490a483993d020997c0e65e9929c758e41a41d4b
Known-Nitrogen: −$2.5K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.5K
return −100.6%
Settled bets
7
$2.5K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–35%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 | SELL Legacy
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | $2.2K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 2 | SELL Eternal Fire
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs | $1.6K |
| Aug 20 | SELL Skillcamp Esport
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs |
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs | $4.0K |
| Aug 20 | SELL FUT Esports
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Aug 20 | BUY B8
@ 31¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $2.5K |
| Aug 20 | SELL Legacy
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | $3.6K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.