0x4863…60b0

0x486317808157d99bA9Cd0698e4a25F15E48C60b0

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0x4863…60b0: +$722 on 48 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 40% (95% range 27%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$722
return +7.3%
Settled bets
48
$9.9K staked
Won
39.6%
95% range 27%–54%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 47 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 5 – Sep 20
−$674
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Sep 5. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −28.5% (538 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 29 BUY Down @ 38¢
DOGE Up or Down Hourly
DOGE Up or Down Hourly $256
Sep 29 BUY Up @ 49¢
BNB Up or Down Hourly
BNB Up or Down Hourly $505
Sep 28 BUY Up @ 38¢
BTC Up or Down Hourly
BTC Up or Down Hourly $236
Sep 27 BUY Down @ 48¢
DOGE Up or Down Hourly
DOGE Up or Down Hourly $223
Sep 27 BUY Down @ 17¢
DOGE Up or Down Hourly
DOGE Up or Down Hourly $97
Sep 27 BUY Down @ 15¢
DOGE Up or Down Hourly
DOGE Up or Down Hourly $51
Sep 27 BUY Up @ 15¢
XRP Up or Down Hourly
XRP Up or Down Hourly $99
Sep 26 BUY Down @ 20¢
Solana Up or Down Hourly
Solana Up or Down Hourly $126

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed