Dependable-Sourwood

0x4673ada08165c01e90c8f6f8d3f6dcd26f20d99b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dependable-Sourwood: −$5.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.5K
return −73.2%
Settled bets
5
$7.5K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$5.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Lions @ 53¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $1.1K
Oct 4 BUY Chiefs @ 50¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Chiefs vs. Raiders $1.0K
Oct 3 BUY South Florida @ 67¢
Temple vs. South Florida
Temple vs. South Florida $2.5K
Sep 25 BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 63¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers $1.3K
Sep 22 BUY Texas Rangers @ 53¢
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers $1.6K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed