Sour-Waistband-Oven
0x46529b524aade9533ed5f9c83e51ad6dab446343
Sour-Waistband-Oven: −$1.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.6K
return −11.9%
Settled bets
4
$13K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.6K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$5.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$40
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Over
@ 99¢
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 |
Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | $4.8K |
| Sep 24 | BUY aimclub
@ 98¢
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner | $2.6K |
| Sep 19 | BUY 3DMAX
@ 12¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY 3DMAX
@ 70¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $3.1K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Spirit Academy
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Under
@ 60¢
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? |
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | $5.4K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.