Better-Lining

0x4638702f203aaabc57fe2b9676c5cd9a2a686b0a

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Better-Lining: +$95 on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 72%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$95
return +0.3%
Settled bets
16
$32K staked
Won
93.8%
95% range 72%–99%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$14
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$71
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$10
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 99.9¢
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Frites Esports Club - Game 4 Winner
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Frites Esports Club - Game 4 Winner $3.3K
Oct 1 BUY MAGAZA @ 99.9¢
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage $2.0K
Sep 30 BUY Colossal Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage $5.1K
Sep 23 BUY Lukas Neumayer @ 99.9¢
Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Martin
Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Martin $2.2K
Sep 22 BUY The Otter Side @ 99.71¢
LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD - Game 1 Winner
LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 20 BUY Browns @ 99¢
Browns vs. Buccaneers
Browns vs. Buccaneers $1.3K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 99¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? $1.0K
Sep 17 BUY Frites Esports Club @ 99.68¢
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 3 Winner $2.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed