Wasteful-Original
0x45eadb2caf5e13aa839acffffeb920c830768815
Wasteful-Original: −$3.9K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.9K
return −20.5%
Settled bets
7
$19K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | BUY G2
@ 51¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner | $1.9K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 24¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | $2.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 69¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Aug 23 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 37¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 74¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 61¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $2.5K |
| Aug 22 | SELL FUT Esports
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner | $6.6K |
| Aug 22 | BUY FURIA
@ 65¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.