Burly-Blush

0x45720deb102f700682bfcb19b5872b5022ad83ff

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Burly-Blush: +$6.1K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 30%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$6.1K
return +7.4%
Settled bets
25
$82K staked
Won
48.0%
95% range 30%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$6.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 27 BUY MOUZ @ 65¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $3.0K
Aug 27 BUY Vitality @ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $2.0K
Aug 27 BUY @ 37¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $1.2K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 54¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $8.2K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 42¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner $5.7K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 51¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Aug 23 BUY TEAM VISION @ 51¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner $5.0K
Aug 22 BUY Spirit @ 50¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) $2.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed