Reliable-Siding
0x456951c4a022030fa55b72dbefed86b1d774e624
Reliable-Siding: −$1.7K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 64%–97%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.7K
return −3.2%
Settled bets
16
$51K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 64%–97%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$15
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$28
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY NAVI Junior
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5) | $16K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | $3.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Astralis
@ 99.8¢
Map Handicap: NEMI (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5) |
Map Handicap: NEMI (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5) | $2.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 99.9¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner |
Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Team Phantasma
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage |
LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | $2.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Kaufland Hangry Knights
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | SELL OldMix
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: EAC Extra vs OldMix - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: EAC Extra vs OldMix - Map 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Team Nemesis
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $3.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.