Unruly-Dialogue

0x4266d3aeedfb1a99f8a79406d97e2b230c725305

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unruly-Dialogue: +$1.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.4K
return +19.4%
Settled bets
3
$7.4K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$545
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$900
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Vitality @ 84¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.0K
Sep 9 BUY No @ 55¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? $1.1K
Aug 29 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 93¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego $1.7K
Aug 22 SELL No @ 69¢
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026? $1.3K
Aug 21 BUY No @ 77¢
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026? $2.0K
Aug 20 BUY No @ 87¢
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026? $2.7K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed