Plush-Apartment
0x40db60f96894e44b9f0ea967021452280a12ca8c
Plush-Apartment: −$3.4K on 33 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 35%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.4K
return −11.3%
Settled bets
33
$30K staked
Won
51.5%
95% range 35%–68%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$401
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Team Synapse
@ 99¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HULIGANI (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs HULIGANI (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | BUY 1win
@ 69¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 83¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | SELL GamerLegion
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 74¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 30 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | $3.4K |
| Sep 30 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 85¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.