Calm-Software-Saloon

0x4062de67874f3911634e642e081710c69fd83b71

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Calm-Software-Saloon: −$6.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$6.3K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
3
$6.3K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.0K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$2.4K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 3 BUY GamerLegion @ 56¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier $2.0K
Sep 19 BUY Karmine Corp @ 50¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $2.4K
Sep 3 BUY Dplus KIA @ 65¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner $2.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed