Self-Reliant-Ambassador

0x3e0d69f67dac16d7c841962348c211a9e4c621cb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Self-Reliant-Ambassador: −$224 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$224
return −3.0%
Settled bets
4
$7.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$813
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$589
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 BUY Xtreme Gaming @ 75¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.8K
Sep 15 SELL Sara Bejlek @ 99.9¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek $5.0K
Sep 15 BUY Sara Bejlek @ 86¢
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek
Guadalajara Open Akron: Alycia Parks vs Sara Bejlek $4.3K
Sep 14 SELL Two Move @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Two Move vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Two Move vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner $2.5K
Sep 11 BUY Any Questions Gaming @ 20¢
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs $1.5K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed