Basic-Mandarin
0x3da89a55cdd4b5c69f80e5cd3ef1782a3e0480c3
Basic-Mandarin: −$11K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −38.5%
Settled bets
9
$30K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$9.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 64¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 50¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY M80
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY TYLOO
@ 49¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 63¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $4.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY MOUZ
@ 57¢
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY FaZe
@ 36¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $5.0K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $4.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.