Utilized-Adrenaline

0x3c1d8ef017b1f6cc01f1aeb7aa39ffed5b3148e1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Utilized-Adrenaline: −$30 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$30
return −2.1%
Settled bets
3
$1.4K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$18
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$48
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 22 SELL India @ 96¢
India Tour of Japan T20s: Japan vs India
India Tour of Japan T20s: Japan vs India $1.2K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.4K
Sep 16 SELL Yes @ 99.17¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $1.3K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed