Mixed-Measurement
0x3b5a522996a974b0224f86451b41053d94c487ef
Mixed-Measurement: +$1.3K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.3K
return +20.0%
Settled bets
5
$6.7K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$1.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | BUY
@ 11¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) AND Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) AND Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) AND Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) AND Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Yes
@ 23¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-31? |
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-31? | $1.9K |
| Aug 30 | SELL
@ 99.21¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? |
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | $3.9K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Manchester City FC
@ 34¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | $1.2K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Yes
@ 76¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26? |
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26? | $2.9K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Fenerbahçe SK
@ 83¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance |
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | $3.6K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Fenerbahçe SK
@ 37¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance |
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | $1.6K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Olympique Lyonnais
@ 65¢
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance |
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.