Young-Diver

0x3aa74f0daec9b2facf6587b92bbc8717a78cf52f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Young-Diver: −$1.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −26.8%
Settled bets
5
$5.9K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.6K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$65
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 BUY Sevilla FC @ 96¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5)
Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) $1.6K
Sep 6 BUY Arsenal FC @ 94¢
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) $1.0K
Sep 5 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-05? $1.0K
Sep 5 BUY Over @ 88¢
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5 $2.0K
Aug 20 BUY Yes @ 83¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? $1.4K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed