Political-Prison

0x3a51ac088ea7537707bfca1317db6c4406b6fd7f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Political-Prison: −$1.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.7K
return −100.2%
Settled bets
2
$1.7K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$4
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 29 SELL Golden Lions @ 50¢
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Golden Lions - Game 3 Winner $1.1K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 55¢
Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?
Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP? $1.7K
Sep 8 BUY Thiago Seyboth Wild @ 59¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari $2.1K
Aug 28 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? $1.8K
Aug 28 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? $1.8K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed