Rude-Textual
Skill vs luck
Rude-Textual on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 40% (95% range 12%–77%) · profit +$2.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Rude-Textual: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x39d807a9c34f226e8c5b7d2a06822bc7ff47f064. Data CC BY 4.0.
Rude-Textual: +$2.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.9K
- Sep 19 – Oct 4
- −$13
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$47
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$4.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes @ 39¢ | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $2.2K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes
@ 36¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? |
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? | $1.4K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 31¢ | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 68¢ | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $3.9K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 49¢ | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Yes
@ 51¢
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21? |
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21? | $2.3K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Over
@ 39¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 |
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Over
@ 41¢
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 |
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.