Primary-Radar-Carnation

0x39c9503f25daf67c9dc350db0fae04d146c17deb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Primary-Radar-Carnation: −$2.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.6K
return −60.1%
Settled bets
3
$4.3K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 2 BUY Under @ 42¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 $1.7K
Aug 31 BUY @ 14¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A AND Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A $1.3K
Aug 30 BUY Legacy @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $1.2K
Aug 30 SELL Legacy @ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $1.7K
Aug 29 BUY @ 24¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs AND Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs AND Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Valorant: MIBR vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs AND Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs AND Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs $1.9K
Aug 29 BUY Lynn Vision @ 25¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Aug 22 SELL @ 99.85¢
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In AND Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In AND Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In $1.3K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed