Outrageous-Homeland-Footstool

0x389c3afa917c6691e1721a5bde70308ca2c6fa97

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Outrageous-Homeland-Footstool: −$522 on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 13%–53%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$522
return −3.7%
Settled bets
17
$14K staked
Won
29.4%
95% range 13%–53%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$522
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Natus Vincere @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner $2.5K
Oct 6 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 47¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.5K
Oct 6 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 42¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner $1.3K
Oct 6 SELL 9z @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner $2.6K
Oct 5 BUY Team Falcons @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 5 SELL Up @ 96¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET $1.0K
Oct 5 BUY TYLOO @ 38¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.2K
Oct 5 SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner $2.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed