Heavy-Elevator-Surgery

0x381b9294c1b95b61d018ff56312fbcc4897c4d74

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Heavy-Elevator-Surgery: +$44K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 88% (95% range 53%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$44K
return +27.2%
Settled bets
8
$163K staked
Won
87.5%
95% range 53%–98%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$17K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$23K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$4.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Over @ 45¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5
Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 $3.4K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 10¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? $2.0K
Sep 13 BUY Gen.G @ 63¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $35K
Sep 6 BUY Yes @ 78¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? $17K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 94¢
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30?
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-08-30? $47K
Aug 28 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? $2.6K
Aug 26 BUY Yes @ 81¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26? $49K
Aug 20 SELL TEAM VISION @ 83¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs $4.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed