Upbeat-Loading-Broccoli
0x3724379b7192ddf7fb43aadbba6d8bc3895e69b5
Upbeat-Loading-Broccoli: −$12K on 46 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 40%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$12K
return −13.0%
Settled bets
46
$94K staked
Won
54.3%
95% range 40%–68%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 44 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$12K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$72
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$507
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 42¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY MOUZ
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Spirit
@ 76¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Legacy
@ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 88¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $4.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 77¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $2.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 68¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.