Skeletal-Manipulation
Skill vs luck
Skeletal-Manipulation on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit +$7.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Skeletal-Manipulation: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x36e87fe3942c47a9cf014c63b9f5ac9322912070. Data CC BY 4.0.
Skeletal-Manipulation: +$7.8K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- +$7.7K
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$78
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL Warriors @ 99.9¢ | Clippers vs. Warriors ↗ | $6.5K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Patriots @ 98¢ | Patriots vs. Dolphins ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? |
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | $1.0K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Yes
@ 99.62¢
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? |
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes @ 89¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $8.9K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes @ 85¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $1.2K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.