Variable-Jury

0x35f11f5cf052876ebf3a2967cbddadc487e059e6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Variable-Jury: +$12K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 38%–96%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$12K
return +62.0%
Settled bets
5
$20K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 38%–96%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$12K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY B8 @ 61¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A $9.0K
Sep 17 SELL B8 @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A $9.1K
Sep 17 BUY B8 @ 66¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Metizport (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A $6.0K
Sep 16 BUY SPARTA @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs BakS eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs BakS eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage $3.5K
Sep 15 SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs $3.6K
Sep 15 BUY Brute @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage $1.5K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed