Relieved-Crate

0x34ddd3c10216feecd3b628b2a6ed74b6d45d9947

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Relieved-Crate: +$336 on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$336
return +1.9%
Settled bets
11
$17K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$336
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 BUY No @ 80¢
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-19?
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-19? $1.2K
Sep 18 SELL Under @ 97¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5 $3.7K
Sep 18 BUY Under @ 86¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5 $3.3K
Sep 17 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5
OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 5.5 $3.3K
Sep 16 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? $2.7K
Sep 16 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5
AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5 $2.7K
Sep 16 BUY Over @ 95¢
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5 $2.4K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 82¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? $2.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed