Bowed-Explanation

0x33f638d0acd1dc3cbb4a7a19e57d4757ed2dbcc2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Bowed-Explanation: +$1.1K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.1K
return +35.0%
Settled bets
9
$3.1K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 22 SELL Heroic @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BBL - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BBL - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Sep 21 BUY Dplus KIA Challengers @ 92¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C $1.0K
Sep 21 SELL Galions @ 99.9¢
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D
LoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D $1.1K
Sep 20 BUY Vitality @ 68¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 4 Winner $1.0K
Sep 20 SELL G2 Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner $1.4K
Sep 15 SELL T1 Academy @ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 13 BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 67¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner $1.1K
Sep 10 SELL T1 Academy @ 99.9¢
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed