Exciting-Commitment

0x3374387382f08141555617dad37239da5fd69c8b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Exciting-Commitment: −$1.7K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.7K
return −33.3%
Settled bets
4
$5.0K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 6 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 60¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner $2.0K
Sep 6 BUY Team WE @ 40¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Sep 5 SELL Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 99.9¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $3.1K
Sep 5 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 45¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.5K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed