Livid-Copyright
0x332f6e6b727c5737daf97cb9a032883eda341ee8
Livid-Copyright: +$11K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$11K
return +78.2%
Settled bets
5
$14K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$11
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | SELL No
@ 81¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $4.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 73¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 30 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 54¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C |
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | $2.0K |
| Sep 29 | BUY 1win
@ 54¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $10K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 25¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | $3.0K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 20¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | $5.0K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Team WE
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | $8.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Top Esports
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.