Submissive-Quit

0x33039159ffe95333ef0661ac84b17b27fae69895

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Submissive-Quit: −$2.4K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 36%–78%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.4K
return −6.0%
Settled bets
17
$41K staked
Won
58.8%
95% range 36%–78%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$4.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 11 BUY Yes @ 86¢
Will AZ win on 2026-09-11?
Will AZ win on 2026-09-11? $9.9K
Sep 11 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11? $10K
Sep 11 BUY Yes @ 63¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11? $6.3K
Sep 10 SELL Yes @ 84¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? $3.7K
Sep 9 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-09? $2.6K
Sep 9 SELL Under @ 35¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5 $3.0K
Sep 8 BUY FaZe @ 72¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B $4.4K
Sep 6 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? $4.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed