Flimsy-Irony

0x31c1e26ba531b09ad76c7062a4dc56da0f68bc19

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Flimsy-Irony: +$1.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.6K
return +80.5%
Settled bets
4
$2.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$614
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$996
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 13 BUY Legacy @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs $1.0K
Sep 12 SELL Yes @ 99.6¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? $1.0K
Aug 30 SELL FUT Esports @ 86¢
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B $2.4K
Aug 22 BUY FUT Esports @ 50¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner $1.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed