Dangerous-Commerce
0x317149007acf6c4ac806df15ad95b2fa41aeb991
Dangerous-Commerce: −$2.0K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 28% (95% range 13%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.0K
return −17.2%
Settled bets
18
$11K staked
Won
27.8%
95% range 13%–51%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.2K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$779
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? |
Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-22? | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | $1.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Lavinia Luciano
@ 97¢
W15 Monastir: Lavinia Luciano vs Irem Kurt |
W15 Monastir: Lavinia Luciano vs Irem Kurt | $1.2K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5 |
CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5 | $3.0K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5 |
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5 | $2.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Over
@ 91¢
Peterborough United FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5 |
Peterborough United FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.8K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Vladimir Osminkin
@ 65¢
M15 Tsaghkadzor: Artur Kukasian vs Vladimir Osminkin |
M15 Tsaghkadzor: Artur Kukasian vs Vladimir Osminkin | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5 |
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5 | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.