Beneficial-Discrepancy

0x30d6c15abbce361921eb9a251462036c4b078c9d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Beneficial-Discrepancy: +$4.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.0K
return +27.9%
Settled bets
4
$14K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$225
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 BUY No @ 59¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? $6.3K
Sep 17 BUY No @ 85¢
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17?
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-17? $6.9K
Sep 7 SELL No @ 81¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? $7.9K
Sep 5 BUY No @ 82¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-05?
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-05? $1.0K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed