Homely-Massage

0x2fbccc3918a358ef674854dbd4bbd89b896ef944

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Homely-Massage: −$418 on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 40%–89%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$418
return −3.4%
Settled bets
10
$12K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 40%–89%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$10
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$629
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 12 BUY BNK FEARX @ 81¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.2K
Oct 6 SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.2K
Oct 5 BUY G2 @ 91¢
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs G2 - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 26 BUY Under @ 73¢
Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5
Texas vs. Tennessee: O/U 39.5 $1.4K
Sep 23 BUY LGD Gaming @ 99.18¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner $1.2K
Sep 2 SELL T1 @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner $4.7K
Aug 30 BUY Cloud9 @ 98¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Aug 29 BUY T1 @ 99¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $3.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed