Imperfect-Diary-Criminal

0x2de2237e3ac4784425575ea5a09d3652d0b811a9

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Imperfect-Diary-Criminal: −$5.4K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–39%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.4K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
6
$5.4K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–39%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$4.4K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 9 SELL Ugo Blanchet @ 99.9¢
Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Rincon
Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Rincon $2.1K
Sep 7 BUY Arthur Gea @ 41¢
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp $1.0K
Sep 6 BUY Maxim Zhukov @ 38¢
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov $1.4K
Sep 1 BUY Grigor Dimitrov @ 64¢
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin
US Open ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alexei Popyrin $1.0K
Aug 27 BUY Joanna Garland @ 40¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Francesca Jones vs Joanna Garland
US Open, Qualification WTA: Francesca Jones vs Joanna Garland $1.0K
Aug 21 BUY No @ 50¢
Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-08-21?
Will Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-08-21? $1.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed