Playful-Storyboard-Houseboat
0x2d4ad742f88dee49c4381c5373f6e9cd69beef5f
Playful-Storyboard-Houseboat: −$18K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 8%–48%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$18K
return −51.0%
Settled bets
14
$36K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 8%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$14K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$4.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Under
@ 42¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 |
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Chargers
@ 36¢
Spread: Bills (-3.5) |
Spread: Bills (-3.5) | $1.4K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 39¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5) |
Spread: Packers (-7.5) | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Conventus Stellarum
@ 67¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Over
@ 40¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 |
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 50.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Giants
@ 27¢
Giants vs. Rams |
Giants vs. Rams | $2.6K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Rams
@ 43¢
Spread: Rams (-8.5) |
Spread: Rams (-8.5) | $2.0K |
| Sep 21 | BUY LA
@ 42¢
Spread: LA (-9.5) |
Spread: LA (-9.5) | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.