Threadbare-Lymphocyte

0x2bf4570f42a1eda6aa0f13afb309c78188541381

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Threadbare-Lymphocyte: +$4.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.4K
return +40.8%
Settled bets
3
$11K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 29 BUY Over @ 40¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 $1.2K
Aug 29 BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 34¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs $1.7K
Aug 27 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 51¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $2.6K
Aug 27 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 52¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $5.2K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed