Glass-Lawsuit

0x2bf2393f6b562ff665b9e2c8950d3a3cf5043a9e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Glass-Lawsuit: +$14K on 22 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 27%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$14K
return +38.7%
Settled bets
22
$37K staked
Won
45.5%
95% range 27%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$14K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 22 SELL ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix @ 99.9¢
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B $1.1K
Sep 20 SELL KT Rolster Challengers @ 99.9¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY Vitality @ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner $4.7K
Sep 18 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner $5.2K
Sep 18 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 69¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner $1.0K
Sep 18 BUY magic @ 35¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner $2.2K
Sep 18 BUY magic @ 30¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed