Devoted-Crayon-Sprag

0x2bd88c51d364ae38820ad1782e621b82137dd64c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Devoted-Crayon-Sprag: +$930 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 71% (95% range 36%–92%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$930
return +11.4%
Settled bets
7
$8.2K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 36%–92%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$605
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$324
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 13 BUY Legacy @ 80¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner $1.7K
Sep 12 BUY DENDELE CS @ 92¢
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.5K
Sep 12 BUY Cloud9 @ 87¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner $1.6K
Sep 12 SELL Heroic @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 1WIN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 1WIN (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 12 BUY @ 64¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner AND LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner AND LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY FURIA Esports @ 61¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Legacy @ 67¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 11 SELL @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs AND LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D AND Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs AND LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group D AND Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed