Imaginary-Closet
0x2bcd792138a4e184f791b05d9c5c70e3c8f7cbfb
Imaginary-Closet: +$364 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$364
return +13.0%
Settled bets
3
$2.8K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 72¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $1.6K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Yes
@ 41¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $2.1K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Dplus KIA
@ 99¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 5 | BUY MOUZ
@ 38¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.