Damaged-Public-Sender

0x2ba6c2c20075a5c5f6996dd32f080e5d005e644c

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Damaged-Public-Sender: +$313K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$313K
return +21.0%
Settled bets
4
$1.50M staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$313K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 24 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? $170K
Aug 24 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? $517K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 50¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? $79K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? $59K
Aug 23 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? $314K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 47¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $41K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 56¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $8.5K
Aug 23 BUY Team Spirit @ 92¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs $96K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed