Mild-Guitar

0x2b8f84874b7b671d87028ac7cc3d94021b0b3991

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Mild-Guitar: +$3.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.0K
return +67.6%
Settled bets
4
$4.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$3.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 62¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY @ 45¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.6K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score $3.0K
Sep 18 BUY Over @ 57¢
Albacete Balompié vs. Córdoba CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Albacete Balompié vs. Córdoba CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5 $1.1K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 37¢
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-18?
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-09-18? $1.9K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed