Coarse-Compost
0x2a214973f38f9052a08a419b97141a66e84b9853
Coarse-Compost: +$71K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 32%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$71K
return +38.0%
Settled bets
21
$186K staked
Won
52.4%
95% range 32%–72%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 19 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$69K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 | BUY MIBR
@ 53¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 10 | SELL BetBoom Team
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | $18K |
| Sep 10 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 53¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 77¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 75¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $3.2K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 50¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $32K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 63¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | $7.0K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 64¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner | $6.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.