Ill-Fated-Empowerment

0x29ccb2084a5a42861291107ce745dd344d3f3c29

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Ill-Fated-Empowerment: −$4.3K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.3K
return −37.9%
Settled bets
5
$11K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.6K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$1.4K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$4.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY Packers @ 39¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
Spread: Packers (-7.5) $4.1K
Sep 22 BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 42¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees $1.7K
Sep 20 BUY Toronto Blue Jays @ 40¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers $2.8K
Sep 19 BUY Baltimore Orioles @ 30¢
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) $1.0K
Aug 29 BUY Over @ 35¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 $1.6K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed