Complete-Import

0x28df07a6a599928aa7937fc52d6894b9eb7c16de

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Complete-Import: +$1.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.5K
return +13.4%
Settled bets
2
$11K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 SELL No @ 79¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? $13K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 76¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? $13K
Sep 10 BUY No @ 99¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? $10K
Sep 9 BUY No @ 74¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? $9.2K
Sep 9 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 $10K
Sep 8 BUY No @ 20¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? $1.8K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed