Standard-Stinger

0x283c23e782c3017c4ad04672417f5e099177ba51

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Standard-Stinger: −$1.6K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 31%–83%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.6K
return −13.9%
Settled bets
10
$11K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 31%–83%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$232
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$95
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY Under @ 92¢
China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 5.5
China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 5.5 $1.9K
Sep 20 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 5.5
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 5.5 $1.9K
Sep 19 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.5K
Sep 19 BUY Yes @ 96¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? $1.4K
Sep 12 BUY Under @ 99¢
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 $2.5K
Sep 11 BUY Down @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET $1.7K
Sep 9 SELL Yes @ 99.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? $1.5K
Sep 8 SELL Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed