Gummy-Objection
0x26d6f472f29d33fb3592fd1ce164a4c00c8f56ef
Gummy-Objection: −$192 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$192
return −1.9%
Settled bets
9
$10K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora
@ 44¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Legacy
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL OG
@ 36¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 30 | SELL OG
@ 39¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C |
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | $1.6K |
| Sep 21 | BUY 1win
@ 49¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $2.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 33¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Legacy
@ 35¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.