Shocked-Objective
0x2687cb380661a0041bf4c4cf3945a034b79e1363
Shocked-Objective: −$1.8K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 29%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.8K
return −9.2%
Settled bets
26
$20K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 29%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$408
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$700
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Spirit
@ 94¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 68¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 56¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 92¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 82¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | SELL FURIA
@ 93¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Spirit
@ 81¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 82¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.