Elementary-Effort-Regulator

0x26273b50e0dce6f2f17795f28ca7a9303517fa13

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Elementary-Effort-Regulator: +$4.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.2K
return +54.1%
Settled bets
3
$7.8K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$4.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 28 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 50¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner $2.1K
Aug 27 BUY Over @ 42¢
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 $2.5K
Aug 25 BUY Dallas Wings @ 52¢
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) $3.1K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed