Pertinent-Convention-Instance
0x25f905e879a9742681828e14e47048e8ba08eba6
Pertinent-Convention-Instance: +$331 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$331
return +25.6%
Settled bets
4
$1.3K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$331
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Saint Sinners
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #8 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #8 Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL CTRL Esports
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C |
Counter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Bebop
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C |
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL mellren
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 28 | SELL Xipto Esports
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Sep 21 | BUY G2 Ares
@ 79¢
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | $1.3K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Xtreme Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.7K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Team Cobra
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.